How to calculate it
For a single year: (This year's dividend − Last year's dividend) ÷ Last year's dividend × 100
For multi-year compound growth rate (CAGR): ((Current dividend ÷ Starting dividend) ^ (1 ÷ Years)) − 1
Example: A stock paid $1.00 per share five years ago and pays $1.40 today. CAGR = (1.40/1.00)^(1/5) − 1 = 6.96% annual dividend growth
Why growth rate rivals yield in importance
Consider two investments over 20 years, both starting at a 3.5% yield on a $500,000 portfolio:
- Investment A grows dividends at 3% annually → Year 20 income: ~$30,300
- Investment B grows dividends at 8% annually → Year 20 income: ~$52,200
Investment B delivers 72% more income by year 20 from the same starting portfolio. The compounding of dividend growth is the mechanism behind this — each annual increase applies to a larger base than the year before.
This is why Dividend Aristocrats — which have grown dividends for 25+ consecutive years — are favored for long retirements even when their current yields look modest compared to higher-yield alternatives.
Historical dividend growth rates by fund
- SCHD (Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF): ~10–12% annually over 5+ years
- VIG (Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF): ~8–10% annually
- VYM (Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF): ~5–7% annually
- S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (NOBL): ~7–9% annually
Higher current yield funds (JEPI, QYLD, and similar) often have lower dividend growth rates because their option-premium income doesn't grow with company earnings the way traditional dividends do.
Dividend growth vs inflation
The consumer price index has averaged approximately 3% annually over long periods. A dividend portfolio growing at 6–8% annually is increasing income roughly twice as fast as the general cost of living. Over 20–30 years, that surplus growth meaningfully improves purchasing power rather than just keeping pace.
A portfolio with flat or slowly growing dividends will have its real income eroded by inflation. This is one reason income-only metrics — looking only at today's yield — can mislead retirement planning.
Red flags in dividend growth
- Dividend growth far outpacing earnings growth (may not be sustainable)
- Special one-time dividends inflating the growth rate calculation
- Growth slowing sharply over the most recent 1–2 years
- Payout ratio climbing toward 80%+ as dividends grow but earnings don't
Always check whether dividend growth is supported by earnings growth and free cash flow growth. See free cash flow and payout ratio.
Related terms
- Dividend yield — current income as a percentage of price
- Yield on cost — how growth rate improves personal return over time
- Dividend Aristocrat — 25+ years of consecutive growth